The field for this year's John Deere Classic isn't much to get excited about, but there's still money to be won!
Someone still has to win this tournament and the absence of big names means that it could be the perfect time for an unheralded player to catch fire.
Let's dig into the odds on this year's John Deere Classic, ranking some standout players based on their betting value.
2023 John Deere Classic Odds
2023 John Deere Classic power rankings
Russell Henley, Denny McCarthy and Cameron Young, the top three favorites, are some of the biggest names in this tournament.
Though I typically shy away from betting on favorites not named Jon Rahm or Scottie Scheffler, this could be a good spot to capitalize on a player with odds shorter than +5000.
But don't let that stop you from sprinkling some coin on the longshots, too.
Let's start with the best plays on the board.
Value plays
These are players who have a history of success at TPC Deere Run and are playing well in recent tournaments.
Denny McCarthy (+1400)
Adam Schenk (+2800) – The 31-year-old Schenk has had a strong season already, recording six finishes at T-20 or better including a solo second place at the Valspar Championship. Schenk has found his most success this season in his approach shots – gaining strokes on the field in seven straight tournaments on those shots.
The past two winners of this tournament, JT Poston and Lucas Glover, also excelled at approach shots on their way to victory.
Schenk missed the cut at last year's John Deere Classic, but finished T4 (-16) and 7th (-20) in the two preceding years of this tournament, respectively.
Taylor Moore (+3000)
Good plays with not-so-good odds
These players are similar to the tier above, but something – recent form, inexperience, etc. – is holding them back from winning.
Russell Henley (+1400)
Ludvig Aberg (+2200) – Aberg is an intriguing young player who has gained overall strokes on the field in three straight tournaments – all three 40th place or better finishes. However, Aberg has lost strokes on the field in approach shots in three straight tournaments and putting in two of three. His odds seem to be a bit inflated to match the hype here.
On the other hand, Aberg has already demonstrated he has the talent to compete and his best golf is likely ahead of him.
Adam Hadwin (+2500)
Worth a Sprinkle
Chesson Hadley (+1100)
Peter Malnati (+15000)
Ryan Moore (+15000) – This season has been a struggle for Moore, to put it lightly. The 40-year-old has missed the cut in 11/15 tournaments this season, but does have T7 and T25 finishes.
However, at these odds, Moore's history at TPC Deere Run is good enough reason to take him. Moore finished T24 (-11) last year, T2 (-17) in 2021.
He's coming off a solid T64 (-7) this past weekend at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and could be in a position to make another run at the leaderboard.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
