The Miami Heat are on the verge of a sweep in the Eastern Conference Finals, and their role players have dominated the Boston Celtics in the series.
I have two prop plays for Heat role guys, as well as a prop for Celtics star Jaylen Brown, who has struggled mightily in his last 10 playoff games.
Let's break down the picks with Boston's season on the line:
Celtics vs. Heat best NBA prop bets
- Gabe Vincent OVER 11.5 Points
- Jaylen Brown UNDER 23.5 Points
- Max Strus OVER 11.5 Points
Gabe Vincent OVER 11.5 Points
Gabe Vincent went off in Game 3, shooting 11-for-14 from the field on his way to a 29-point game. It was Vincent's fourth 20-point game of the playoffs, and he's averaging over 12 points per game in the postseason.
Outside of a few down games against the Knicks, Vincent has been pretty consistent clearing this prop seven different times, including twice in this series.
He's going to see plenty of run, so I like Vincent to stay hot at home in Game 4.
Jaylen Brown UNDER 23.5 Points
Jaylen Brown has struggled since the start of the second round, clearing this number just three times in 10 games and shooting terribly in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Brown is shooting just 37.7 percent from the field and 10.0 percent from 3 against the Heat, and I don't expect him to turn that around on the road facing elimination.
The All-NBA wing is averaging just 21.0 points per game over his last 10. Don't fall into the trap and bet the OVER.
Max Strus OVER 11.5 Points
Prior to Game 2 of this series, Max Strus had cleared this line in six straight contests.
He finished Game 2 with 11 points and Game 3 with 10 points, but I think he's due for a bounce-back showing in Game 4.
Strus took fewer than 10 shots for the first time in seven games in Game 2, then only took nine shots in Game 3 because Miami won in a blowout.
If the usage returns to where it was earlier this postseason, this is a value line for the Heat sharpshooter.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
