The New York Liberty have won three straight games since losing their season opener, and they're starting to gel with the core of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
New York is going to be one of the league's best teams this season, but it finds itself heavily favored on the road against the Chicago Sky on Friday.
The Sky (3-2) were blown out in their last game against the Atlanta Dream, but they sit at 3-2 on the season. The team has struggled on offense, but can it at least keep things close in this matchup?
Here are the odds and my best bet for this Commissioner's Cup matchup:
Liberty vs. Sky odds, spread and total
Liberty vs. Sky prediction and pick
This is the third road game for the Liberty this season, and they've gone 1-1 in those matchups, losing to the Washington Mystics before beating the Seattle Storm on Tuesday night.
New York was favored by 14.5 points against the Storm, but it ended up winning by just eight points. Are the Liberty overvalued against Chicago?
I think so.
The Sky have the worst offensive rating in the WNBA this season, but they also rank fourth in defensive rating, so they'd benefit from a lower-scoring game in this matchup.
I think it's a tough task to ask the Liberty to blow out a quality opponent when they've played just four games with this new-look roster.
The Sky did lose by 18 on the road on Tuesday, but they have a win over the Dallas Wings and a two-point loss to the Mystics at home this season.
I'll trust Chicago to at least hang around in this game.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
