The Seattle Mariners are still stuck under .500 and a loss to the Washington Nationals yesterday did not help. Today in the rubber match at home the 38-40 Mariners need to take the series win to start to climb out of fourth place in the AL West. The Nationals are 31-48 and last place in the NL East.
For the final game of this interleague set the Nationals will go with their lefty, Patrick Corbin who is 4-9 with a 5.32 ERA in 16 starts this season.
He will be opposed by Logan Gilbert who has made 15 starts and is 5-4 with a 4.07 ERA. Last time out, Gilbert went seven and allowed only one run just north of DC in Baltimore.
Let's get into the odds for Game 3 in Seattle.
Nationals vs. Mariners odds, run line and total
Nationals vs. Mariners prediction and pick
There was a stretch this season where Patrick Corbin looked like his old self once again, but that ship has sailed. Last time out Corbin got shelled, giving up seven runs on seven hits in San Diego.
For the season he's allowed 15 home runs, two came in that start against the Padres, and only has 57 strikeouts in 89.2 innings. His FIP is 5.16, nearly as high as his ERA, so it's not like there's some big turnaround coming for the veteran.
He may, however, be able to survive a bit better against the Mariners than he did against the Padres. Seattle is 23rd in OPS against left-handed pitchers at .701 and their 21 home runs rank 18th. The Padres, conversely, are third in home runs against lefties.
Teoscar Hernandez has hit six and has an .869 OPS facing lefties, so he'll be a threat, and so will Ty France with his .356 average in matchups with left-handed pitchers. As a team they aren't great against left-handers, but the good news is that they might be facing the worst one in the MLB.
Logan Gilbert has been good this year and his 3.16 FIP says that he might be even better than the initial numbers show. However, Washington is 10th in OPS in the past seven days while Seattle is sixth. The first two games have finished 8-4 and 7-4, so this feels like another high-scoring affair.
I'll take the over and back these offenses, even if I'm a bit concerned about how Seattle matches up against Corbin.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change
