The Tampa Bay Rays stormed back from an early deficit on Friday night to beat the Seattle Mariners 15-4, and they'll look to take Game 2 of this series on Saturday.
Tyler Glasnow (2-1, 4.45 ERA) gets the ball for the Rays against Seattle's George Kirby (6-7, 3.26 ERA).
The Mariners have been a disappointment this season, sitting in fourth place in the AL West after making the playoffs, but Kirby has been a bright spot, showing that he's one of the better young pitchers in baseball.
Can he lead Seattle to a win on Saturday? Here are the latest odds and my pick for this game:
Rays vs. Mariners odds, run line and total
Rays vs. Mariners prediction and pick
While these two starters are some of the better young pitchers in the game, I think this total is a little too low regardless of who is on the mound.
Glasnow has not pitched deep into games this season, getting through six innings just one time as he works his way back from injury.
That's important because not only does he have an ERA over 4.00, but Tampa Bay's bullpen has an ERA of 3.71 this season. There's no guarantee that the pen can hold Seattle scoreless, especially if Glasnow only works around five innings.
The Rays fell behind early on Friday, but they ended up rallying for 15 runs, showing why they are one of the best offenses in baseball. Kirby only has three starts this season where he's allowed four or more runs, but he did have a 3.91 ERA in June – allowing 28 hits in 23 innings pitched.
Lastly, the Rays have cleared seven combined runs in four of Glasnow's six starts. I think we have to bet the number here and go OVER.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
