The last research firm with the equivalent of a “sell” rating on Nvidia Corp. is throwing in the towel.
Morningstar Inc. upgraded the chipmaker to hold after blowout results on Wednesday that showed booming demand for artificial intelligence computing.
The research firm is “much more optimistic about the rise of AI workloads and how Nvidia’s wide moat should cement itself as an AI chip leader,” analyst Brian Colello wrote in a note.
Nvidia now has 53 buy ratings and six holds, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The shares have more than tripled this year, pushing the company’s market valuation to over $1 trillion.
Morningstar determines its ratings based on the current share price, the analyst’s estimate of the stock’s “fair value” and an “uncertainty rating” of that valuation. Nvidia’s fair value was lifted to $480 per share from $300, while its uncertainty rating was raised to “very high”.
Nvidia’s data center business, including AI graphics processors, is expected to generate $41 billion in revenue in the fiscal year ending January 2024, compared with $15 billion a year ago, according to Morningstar. The chipmaker reported data center revenue of $10 billion in the quarter ended July 31.
“We could be wrong, but we see little evidence that these GPU orders are upfront spending or a one-time build,” Colello wrote, estimating sales for the business could reach $60 billion next year and $100 billion in fiscal 2028. “Such growth might be unprecedented in large-cap tech, but we foresee all types of enterprises investing in AI,” he added.
