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How Ukraine’s battle for the Black Sea is inflicting serious pain on Putin’s forces
How Ukraine’s battle for the Black Sea is inflicting serious pain on Putin’s forces
Russian warships patrol the surface of the Black Sea, launvhing missiles at Ukrainian cities and towns as part of a near-daily assault. While also enforcing a de-facto blockade, leaving ships in little doubt of he consequences if they try to break it. Such is the importance of this shipping route for both sides. For along time Russian ships moved with relative impunity. And a grain deal that alllowed Ukraine to export from its ports on the Black Sea allowed for an uneasy status quo to hold. But after Moscow withdrew from that deal in the summer and stepped up attacks on Ukraine’s ports, and Kyiv began a counteroffensive to retake land occupied by Russia in sourthern and eastern Ukraine – the Black Sea has become one of the most active fronts in the war. For weeks, Kyiv has been sending a new class of sea drone – essentially unmanned speed boats packed with explosives that can travel many miles – seeking to create havoc and disrupt as much of Moscow’s war machine as it can to help the forces on land. The boats can reach speeds of up to 50mph and can carry a payload of explosives of up to 300 kilograms, according to reports. It is the type of innovative warfare that Kyiv has repeatedly used to push back against a far larger military force. These sea drones have been backed up by missile strikes, including using long-range Storm Shadow missiles from the UK. The most recent scalp? What is believed to be the largest Ukrainian attack on the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea fleet since the start of Vladimir Putin’s invasion. Kyiv said that the attack on the base in the city of Sevastopol in Russian-occupied Crimea struck a submarine – which analysts suggested was likely a Kilo-class attack submarine that can launch cruise missiles of its own – and a landing vessel. It is thought that this is the first documented successful attack against a Russian submarine during Moscow’s 18-month war. Before that, Ukrainian special forces regained control of a number of oil and gas drilling platforms that Russia has used to help control the Black Sea in a “unique operation”, the country’s military intelligence (GUR) said. The UK’s Ministry of Defence has previously said the platforms could be used to launch helicopters, position long-range missile systems and as a base for forward deployment. ”Russia has been deprived of the ability to fully control the waters of the Black Sea, and this makes Ukraine many steps closer to regaining Crimea,” the GUR said. Meanwhile, two commercial ships have docked at a Ukrainian port in recent days as Kyiv steps up efforts to unilaterally break Russia’s blockade, using a corridor hugging the Black Sea coast of its southern neighbours and Nato members Romania and Bulgaria. Keir Giles, a senior consulting fellow of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at the Chatham House think tank, said the focus on the Black Sea by Ukrainian forces was a “relative change” and they aren’t “abandoning things they are doing on the front line in the east.” He said: “There are more noticeable things happening now that operations against Crimea are picking up pace. But that’s after a long period of preparation. “We saw earlier the attacks by missiles and special forces landing to reduce Russia’s air defence capability in Crimea and now as a result of that they [Ukrainian forces] can carry out those other operations that rely on those air defences being ineffective. “And that’s why we’re seeing this uptick in the pace... It’s also part of the process of eroding Russia’s sustainability of its hold on Crimea... making it so it will eventually be untenable.” As well as the strategic importance of the Black Sea, there is a symbolic element that can prove a powerful tool. Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 is soemthign that Kyiv has been seeking to avenge for a long time. Hence the talk from Ukrainian officials about the retaking of Crimea being a long term goal (as well as the rest of the territory Russia has occupied during its current invasion). For Russia – and Putin in particular – there is also deep sumbolism in Crimea and the Black Sea. “It is a means by which they can throttle Ukraine, throttle its economy. As soon as they seized Crimea in 2014 it immediately compromised Ukraine’s ability to be able to trade and access the Black Sea from all of its eastern ports,” Giles says. “So from Crimea, Russia can project power over enormous distances, its a kind of outpost of Russian military power,” he added. Giles adds: “Ukraine doesn’t need control of the Black Sea to survive, it needs access to the Black Sea to survive. It’s needs the resumption of peaceful shipping without constantly being under threat from Russia. “That unfortunately is not a problem that will go away with the active phase of fighting in Ukraine. That’s one of the reasons why the idea of bringing the actual fighting to an end in a negogiated settlement with Russia is so fraught, because it means Russia can hold the Ukrainian economy hostage, by keeping that strangehold on its ports, particularly if it remains in control of Crimea.” Kyiv has repeatedly said that any peace settlement would need to include the return of all Ukrainian territory. We can expect Ukrainian attacks on the Black Sea and the Russian fleet in the area to continue. It is a way of keeping the pressure on Moscow while ground troops battle for every bloody inch on the fronlines in southern and eastern Ukraine. Any big hits, such as the recent one on the kilo-class submarine provide a propaganda boost as well as harming Russian capacity. Neither Kyiv or Moscow will want to cede anything in the Black Sea, so this will become an increasingly important part of the war. Read More Ukraine-Russia war – live: ‘Significant losses’ for Putin’s troops as Kyiv’s offensive retakes another village Putin meets the leader of Belarus, who suggests joining Russia's move to boost ties with North Korea Kim Jong-un unexpectedly extends visit to Russia as he gleefully tours more weapons facilities The Body in the Woods | An Independent TV Original Documentary The harrowing discovery at centre of The Independent’s new documentary
1970-01-01 08:00
EU Braces for Tussle Over 12th Russian Sanctions Package
EU Braces for Tussle Over 12th Russian Sanctions Package
The European Union is gearing up for a fight over what should be included in its 12th package
1970-01-01 08:00
Truss Says Sunak Has Room to Cut Taxes Ahead of UK Election
Truss Says Sunak Has Room to Cut Taxes Ahead of UK Election
Former UK leader Liz Truss urged her successor Rishi Sunak to cut taxes ahead of the next election,
1970-01-01 08:00
Rare dinosaur 'Barry' up for sale at Paris auction
Rare dinosaur 'Barry' up for sale at Paris auction
The 150 million year-old camptosaurus is expected to fetch up to €1.2m ($1.2m) in October.
1970-01-01 08:00
Europe's Battle Against Chinese EVs Isn't a Repeat of 2000s Solar Flood
Europe's Battle Against Chinese EVs Isn't a Repeat of 2000s Solar Flood
European Union leaders say their investigation into whether Chinese subsidies are giving its companies an unfair advantage in
1970-01-01 08:00
Big Emissions Bills Are Coming for Ships Sailing in Europe
Big Emissions Bills Are Coming for Ships Sailing in Europe
Ships carrying everything from consumer goods to food and fuel in and out of the European Union will
1970-01-01 08:00
SocGen Plans to Halt New Oil, Gas Loans in Strategy Update
SocGen Plans to Halt New Oil, Gas Loans in Strategy Update
Societe Generale SA is planning to halt lending to some new oil and gas projects, as part of
1970-01-01 08:00
Spanish GDP Revised for Past Years on Stronger Pandemic Rebound
Spanish GDP Revised for Past Years on Stronger Pandemic Rebound
The Spanish economy rebounded more strongly from the Covid-19 pandemic shock than initially though. Gross domestic product expanded
1970-01-01 08:00
Europe Must Cut Down on Its Dependence With China, Baerbock Says
Europe Must Cut Down on Its Dependence With China, Baerbock Says
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said that the European Union must reduce its reliance on China and that
1970-01-01 08:00
Chinese foreign minister visits Russia for ‘security’ talks day after Kim Jong-un leaves country
Chinese foreign minister visits Russia for ‘security’ talks day after Kim Jong-un leaves country
China’s foreign minister will be in Russia this week for security talks, arriving in Moscow just a day after North Korea’s leader Kim Jong-un wrapped up his own visit to the country. Wang Yi’s visit comes as an increasingly isolated Russia seeks support from its international allies for its war against Ukraine. Running from Monday to Thursday, the visit will involve a “strategic security consultation” between China and Russia, the Chinese foreign ministry said. It comes after Mr Kim spent six days in Russia, touring a variety of military and technology sites including the country’s most state-of-the-art cosmodrome, where he met with Vladimir Putin. Their talks sparked global concerns that North Korea will supply weapons to Russia to use in Ukraine. Mr Wang, the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s top foreign policy official, arrives in Russia just two days after talks in Malta with US national security adviser Jake Sullivan. Washington and Beijing described those talks as candid, substantive and constructive. Both nations are looking to stabilise their rocky relationship, having seen bilateral tensions soar due to their conflicting views on multiple issues in Europe and East Asia. China and the US disagree on their stance over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the former has shifted closer to Russia. Beijing maintains the West has to consider Russia’s security concerns about Nato’s expansion in Europe. China has also accused the US of prolonging fighting in Ukraine as it has aided the nation with arms and weaponry which the Joe Biden administration has repeatedly said are necessary in the face of Russian aggression. Russia may be looking to brief Mr Wang on the details of Mr Putin and Mr Kim’s discussions, with experts saying Moscow would want China’s support before going ahead with any major shift in the Russia-North Korea relationship. Also on the agenda could be plans for Vladimir Putin to visit Xi Jinping in Beijing. Mr Putin hasn’t left Russia since the International Criminal Court put out a warrant for his arrest – China is not a signatory to the court – but has previously said he plans to pay Mr Xi a visit, without specifying a date. Mr Kim left Russia on Sunday after a grand farewell ceremony at the train station in Artyom, about 200km from the North Korea border. During his visit, Mr Kim secured an offer of Russian support with North Korea’s floundering and UN-sanctioned satellite launch programme. In return, experts suggest, Russia may be eyeing up a North Korean stockpile of tens of millions of ageing artillery shells and rockets based on Soviet designs that could significantly aid Russian forces in Ukraine. Mr Kim said North Korea would offer its “full and unconditional support” for Russia’s fight to defend its security interests, an indirect reference to the continuing war in Ukraine, despite the West’s warnings against doing so. Read More Biden's national security adviser holds two days of talks in Malta with China's foreign minister Why support for Ukraine is in danger of splitting the EU With Russia isolated on the world stage, Putin turns to old friend North Korea for help Chinese Premier Li Qian takes a test ride on Indonesia's new high-speed railway China's 'full-time children' move back in with parents, take on chores as good jobs grow scarce
1970-01-01 08:00
ECB May See 2% Inflation Sooner Than Forecast, Portugal’s Raposo Says
ECB May See 2% Inflation Sooner Than Forecast, Portugal’s Raposo Says
The European Central Bank may see inflation returning to its 2% target sooner than currently forecast, considering the
1970-01-01 08:00
European Stocks Decline Ahead of This Week’s Central Bank Action
European Stocks Decline Ahead of This Week’s Central Bank Action
European shares fell on Monday, following declines on Wall Street last week, as investors gear up for Federal
1970-01-01 08:00
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